MBB Game 29 Hampton, 2/16/23 (Thurs), 7 PM

[Jojogunne]

Three. Two. One. Counting down to the CAA playoffs.

This will be Hofstra's second game vs. Hampton. We won the first game 67-51 back in January.

The Pirates are 6-21 and 3-11 in the CAA, with wins over Delaware, Monmouth and W&M. They have lost their last four contests.

I'd like to see some of our reserves get more playing time. What happened to Amar'e Marshall? He started the season winning a couple of Rookie of the Week awards, but has hardly played since.

The game will be on FloHoops. Only paying customer will be able to watch.

[cactus]

or Bryce Washington, who they don't beat Towson without.

[triplec2195]

or Bryce Washington, who they don't beat Towson without.

Don't forgot the COC game where without his 6 points in 12 minutes that game as well would have been in jeopardy. I believe that Marshall is still rehabbing a bit after that leg injury and with the emergence of Washington who is a very experienced player it has cut down on Marshall's potential minutes. I think we could beat this Hampton team using our bench. How about that. ESPN gives us a 98% chance to win this game. Does that sound pretty definitive!!

[HUSID80]

Its all about playing our game, imposing our will on these next three teams...don't let them hang around and gain confidence. We have done a good job lately of stepping on teams' throats early and and cruising...hope it continues.

[stuball888]

The team is playing for 40 minutes both on offense and defense
Also, what I like about speedy is he is calling QuickTime outs if you see something he doesn’t like on the court

[EvanJ]

https://gohofstra.com/news/2023/2/14/me ... rsday.aspx is titled "Looking For Nine; Pride Seeks Ninth Consecutive Win On Thursday."

https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/side ... game29.pdf is our Game Notes.

If Charleston and us win out, it will be the first time the CAA has two teams with 2 or fewer losses in more than 14 CAA games. Two teams with 2 or fewer losses happened in 2020-2021 with a tie at 8-2, and when the CAA had eight teams and 14 CAA games before we joined.

A sign of how bad the CAA is is that the CAA is one spot below the Big South in the Conference NET, and the Big South's top team is 153rd. A conference above the CAA could get a 16 seed.

Here is the schedule with CAA records, statistics links, and KenPom expectations:

Hampton (3-11) at Hofstra (13-2): http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcas ... ?id=425824
KenPom expects us to win 84-64 with a 96 percent chance of winning.

UNCW (10-4) at Drexel (9-6) on NBC Sports Philadelphia: http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcas ... ?id=425152
KenPom expects Drexel to win 63-62 with a 55 percent chance of winning.

Delaware (5-9) at Towson (9-5): http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcas ... ?id=428617
KenPom expects Towson to win 72-65 with a 75 percent chance of winning.

Monmouth (5-9) at Northeastern (4-10) on NESN+: http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcas ... ?id=426957
KenPom expects Northeastern to win 72-64 with a 76 percent chance of winning.

Charleston (13-2) at Elon (5-9): http://stats.statbroadcast.com/broadcas ... ?id=425243
KenPom expects Charleston to win 80-67 with a 90 percent chance of winning.

William & Mary (5-9) at Stony Brook (5-9) on SNY: http://stats.statbroadcast.com/statmonitr/?id=428326
KenPom expects Stony Brook to win 67-66 with a 57 percent chance at winning.

All games are at 7:00 P.M. Two of the games have expected margins of 1. North Carolina A&T (7-8) has off.

[stuball888]

We are currently 19.5 point favorites

[Jojogunne]

Good research, Evan. If anyone had any doubts, the CAA is a one-bid league.

[Wags]

A sign of how bad the CAA is is that the CAA is one spot below the Big South in the Conference NET, and the Big South's top team is 153rd. A conference above the CAA could get a 16 seed.

And yet every projection I've seen has Hofstra as a 13 or 14 seed and Charleston about the same to as high as an 11 seed. So the bottom of the conference doesn't appear to be dragging down the top when it comes to the NCAAT (at least not in the projections - of course, the committee can sometimes stray significantly more from the projections that expected).

[Wags]

Good research, Evan. If anyone had any doubts, the CAA is a one-bid league.

As of right now it is, since Charleston's loss at Drexel. If the Cougars had hung on to win the CAA regular season title (losing only to Hofstra in CAA play) and lost a close championship game in D.C., I think they might've been on the bubble with a pretty good at-large chance, but all moot now.

[Hofstra]

Making my first and last trip out to The Macka tomorrow. Cant wait. Hopefully Hoffy whoops their butt.

[triplec2195]

ESPN has us as 17 point favorites. We need to take care of business beginning to end full 40.

[EvanJ]

A sign of how bad the CAA is is that the CAA is one spot below the Big South in the Conference NET, and the Big South's top team is 153rd. A conference above the CAA could get a 16 seed.

And yet every projection I've seen has Hofstra as a 13 or 14 seed and Charleston about the same to as high as an 11 seed. So the bottom of the conference doesn't appear to be dragging down the top when it comes to the NCAAT (at least not in the projections - of course, the committee can sometimes stray significantly more from the projections that expected).

With bubble teams that are the best in their conference is that any loss will hurt them, so a bubble team predicted as an 11 or 12 that loses in its conference tournament to a worse team will probably be out.

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/ ... Charleston says Charleston's NET SOS is 334th, which is 30th worst. The NCAA ranks them 298th in opponents' winning percentage. They give opponents' winning percentage for games played, games remaining, and combined, but I did not check the combined part because if they reach the CAA Final, half of their remaining games before Selection Sunday are against opponents to be determined. If they had the same record against a schedule 100 spots harder, which would still be in the bottom half, they would have a chance at an at-large bid. They have no top 50 NET wins and two top 100 wins. Our snubbed 2006 team had three top 30 RPI wins, and I think mid-majors got treated better then than they do now.

The combination of line and over/under make a score of 82-65.

[EvanJ]

We are starting our usual starters. Hampton is starting Marquis Godwin (guard, 13.0 ppg), Russell "Deuce" Dean (guard, 12.7 ppg, 4.5 apg), Raymond Bethea Jr. (guard, 6.6 ppg), Jordan Nesbitt (guard, 15.0 ppg), and Kyrese Mullen (forward, 7.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg).

https://www.flohoops.com/live/48268 has video.

We led 23-7 when I started watching, and it is now 39-13. Estrada has 15, and Thomas has 11. Carlos has no shots, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists. Hampton's Quinton Livingston was ejected. For the season, he has 12 points in 80 minutes. He had no shots in 1 minute today.

Edit: We lead 45-17 at halftime. Estrada scored 15, Thomas scored 13, Williams scored 8, Dubar scored 4, Plotnikov scored 2, Boachie-Yiadom scored 2, Washington scored 1, and Carlos and Marshall did not shoot. Marshall played 3 minute, which might be his most first half minutes in a while. Estrada got to rest for the last 3:36. I hope we use all 13 players. Marquis Godwin and Russell "Deuce" Dean tied for Hampton's lead with 4 points. Charleston has six players on pace to score double-digits, and Hampton has none. Hampton's Kyrese Mullen leads all players with 7 rebounds, and Dubar leads us with 5. Carlos has 3 assists, and he is the only player on either team with more than 1 assist, which is surprsing because the game has three of the seven CAA players averaging over 4 assists. We shot 18-35 including threes 4-10, and free throws 5-8. Hampton made 7 field goals, committed 11 turnovers, and committed 9 fouls. Hampton had only 2 points off our 5 turnovers. We have more points in the paint 24 to 4. CAA teams scored 45, 44, 43, 42 in the first half.

Edit: We lead 57-25. Monmouth and Elon are down 19 while having the leading scorer in their games. Four CAA games have margins of at least 19. Drexel leads UNCW by 1.

[EvanJ]

We won 73-43. The two walk-ons played. With 9.x left, Aiden Best went to the basket, drew a foul, and made both free throws to let us outscore Hampton in second half 30 to 28. Griffin Barrouk did not play, so maybe he is injured. Carlos played the most minutes on either team with 35, and his only points were a three with 2:59 left. Estrada played 28 minutes. The bench played 72 minutes. I'll type more later.

[stuball888]

How dominate was this win. We scored more in the first half(45) than Hampton scored all game (43).

[stuball888]

Highlights and presser now up on youtube

[Flying Dutchmen]

That was a bludgeoning. We have not trailed in what, 148 straight minutes of play? Seems longer.

On to Stony Brook, may have to make the drive for that one.

[Pride97]

Griffin Barrouk did not play, so maybe he is injured.

He actually wasn’t even on the bench, so maybe he was sick. Too bad - could have gotten some minutes in this one:

This was a no doubter 5 minutes in. Hofstra has had a history of playing down to bad teams - not this year!


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[EvanJ]

Boachie-Yiadom and Williams combined for 18 points and 12 rebounds. Both teams had 45 rebounds, which tied for the second most rebounds by a CAA team tonight behind Charleston's 49. UNCW and Drexel were tied at 49 after regulation, went double overtime, combined to shoot field goals under .400, and both of them still had fewer rebounds than Hampton. I wonder when the previous day (if it has happened) was on which the CAA had at least two overtime games, and the three teams with the most rebounds did not play overtime.

Jordan Nesbitt scored more than Hampton's next four players combined. I wish I could find out how rare that is. Hampton's other starters combined to shoot 5-32 (.156).

Carlos had 8 assists, which was as many as the next six players on both teams combined.

On the Analytics tab, Estrada led all players in game score with 14.8 and net points with 14.2. Carlos led all players in efficiency with 21, followed by Estrada with 19. Williams was our third best player in efficiency and game score, but our sixth best player in net points. Jordan Nesbitt was by far Hampton's best player in all three, and Hampton's only player with positive net points. They were -20 in his 34 minutes, and -10 in the 6 minutes he did not play.

https://caasports.com/news/2023/2/16/me ... ories.aspx says:

"Hofstra 73, Hampton 43
Hofstra limited Hampton to 23% shooting to remain in a first-place tie atop the CAA. Hofstra (21-8, 14-2) pushed its winning streak to nine with Aaron Estrada leading the way in a 21-point night and Jaquan Carlos contributing another all-around performance with 10 rebounds and eight assists. Hofstra tallied 40 points in the paint while limiting Hampton (6-22, 3-12) to eight. Jordan Nesbitt led the Pirates with 19 points. Hofstra reached 14 conference wins for the seventh time as a CAA member and third in the last four full seasons."

Charleston had eight players score at least 7. They shot threes 18-42. They had four players make at least 3 threes, and the last time we did that was February 29, 2020. Before today, that was the last time that a CAA team made at least 18 threes. Elon led 20-19. All of their players who made a field goal made 3, 4, or 5. I wonder what the record is for fewest different amounts of field goals made by teammates. Hampton's players made 0, 1, 2, or 7 field goals. They won 88-66 at Elon. With Florida Atlantic's loss, Charleston moved up to second in Division I in winning percentage behind Houston.

UNCW won 72-71 at Drexel in double overtime. Drexel led 22-7.

Northeastern led by 27 and won 77-62 hosting Monmouth. Northeastern's Joe Pridgen had 9 points and 19 rebounds. Northeastern had nine players make a field goal, and all of them made an odd amount.

Towson won 95-72 hosting Delaware. Towson shot threes 16-22 (.727). They became the third team this season to shoot threes that well with at least 16 made, and one of the previous two was against a non-Division I team. Towson shot free throws 1-5. They became the first team from 2010-2011 to now to shoot threes at least .727 and shoot free throws .200 or worse in any amount of attempts. Towson's Nicolas Timberlake led CAA players with 29 points. Towson's Cameron Holden had 5 points, 7 rebounds, and 11 assists.

Stony Brook scored to go up 8-7 with 13:05 left in the first half, and led until William & Mary tied it with 12 seconds left. Host Stony Brook won 71-66 in overtime, with William & Mary shooting more air balls (3) than made field goals (2).

The CAA standings are:

1. Hofstra: 14-2
2. Charleston: 14-2
3. UNCW: 11-4
4. Towson: 10-5
5. Drexel: 9-7
6. North Carolina A&T: 7-8
7. Stony Brook: 6-9
8 through 12. Delaware, Northeastern, William & Mary, Monmouth, and Elon: 5-10
13. Hampton: 3-12