Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

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Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby EvanJ » Fri Jan 12, 2018 9:54 pm

Hofstra has played 17 games, and 13 had betting lines. Games against Army, Kennesaw State, Molloy, and Stony Brook did not have lines. Hofstra is 6-7 in games with lines. The surprise is that Hofstra is 1-3 when favored and 5-4 when an underdog, with those records being to win the game, not against the spread. In the 4 games as favorites, Hofstra was favored by 23.5 combined and had a -18 point differential. In the 9 games as underdogs, Hofstra was an underdog by by 64 combined and had a -43 point differential. The point differential per game is worse when Hofstra was an underdog because Hofstra lost to Clemson and Villanova by 43 combined. In Hofstra's 9 games as underdogs not against Clemson or Villanova, Hofstra is 5-2 with a 0 point differential. The underdog has won 8 out of 13 games. When the favorite won, the favorite covered 4 times. The only time the favorite won but lost against the spread was against James Madison. I wonder if there are other teams who have been a favorite and an underdog at least 4 times each and have a better record as an underdog.

In addition, the "over" has won in 9 of Hofstra's last 11 games with lines. Against Elon, I was shocked that the over/under was only 148. http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bas ... am/hofstra says it was 149.5, and the game was well over with 165. In Hofstra's last 11 games with lines, the average score has been 8.1 points higher than the over/under.
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby HUSID74 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:26 pm

Evan, that's why I'm worried that we are 3 point favs against Drexel on the road. The Dragons are wounded after their loss Thurs to rival Delaware.
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby triplec2195 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 8:19 am

EvanJ wrote:Hofstra has played 17 games, and 13 had betting lines. Games against Army, Kennesaw State, Molloy, and Stony Brook did not have lines. Hofstra is 6-7 in games with lines. The surprise is that Hofstra is 1-3 when favored and 5-4 when an underdog, with those records being to win the game, not against the spread. In the 4 games as favorites, Hofstra was favored by 23.5 combined and had a -18 point differential. In the 9 games as underdogs, Hofstra was an underdog by by 64 combined and had a -43 point differential. The point differential per game is worse when Hofstra was an underdog because Hofstra lost to Clemson and Villanova by 43 combined. In Hofstra's 9 games as underdogs not against Clemson or Villanova, Hofstra is 5-2 with a 0 point differential. The underdog has won 8 out of 13 games. When the favorite won, the favorite covered 4 times. The only time the favorite won but lost against the spread was against James Madison. I wonder if there are other teams who have been a favorite and an underdog at least 4 times each and have a better record as an underdog.

In addition, the "over" has won in 9 of Hofstra's last 11 games with lines. Against Elon, I was shocked that the over/under was only 148. http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-bas ... am/hofstra says it was 149.5, and the game was well over with 165. In Hofstra's last 11 games with lines, the average score has been 8.1 points higher than the over/under.


So simply stated Evan and I'm in agreement that for us being favored it's almost always the KISS OF DEATH!! That was even true last year if my memory serves me well.
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby EvanJ » Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:47 pm

Last season Hofstra was 11-15 against the spread with 2 pushes and 4 games without spreads.
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby Hofstra » Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:04 pm

Evan, do you gamble on the games? Seems like you have a niche here.
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby EvanJ » Sat Jan 13, 2018 8:09 pm

Hofstra wrote:Evan, do you gamble on the games? Seems like you have a niche here.

I don't gamble, but I like numbers. I went to the Elon game, and if I could have legally bet on the over in the Mack Sports Complex right before the game started, I might have done it and won. Today's game exceeded the over by 26.5.
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby joeg1 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 10:00 pm

EvanJ wrote:
Hofstra wrote:Evan, do you gamble on the games? Seems like you have a niche here.

I don't gamble, but I like numbers. I went to the Elon game, and if I could have legally bet on the over in the Mack Sports Complex right before the game started, I might have done it and won. Today's game exceeded the over by 26.5.
Gambling is illegal...
and I never slice.


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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby HUSID74 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 11:08 pm

And we covered!
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Re: Hofstra Does Better When They're Underdogs

Postby Polito » Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:02 pm

Playing to the level of competition is frustrating to watch. But certainly not something that occurs only at HU - all too common across all sports and levels. I can't stand it though. Usually an indication of a lack of or not yet mature enough leadership somewhere, player or staff...or both.
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